First up California:
Boxer has 48% and Jones has 42%
This seat can not even be competitive. The Democrats do not have money to spend to defend Boxer's seat. Boxer is under 50 and her lead is only 6.
Then SC:
De Mint leads Tennenbaum by 13 points, 52% to 39%.
The last poll immediatly after the primary had him up 7, we blamed it on his momentum. More than a month has passed. SC is looking closer to Georgia than anything else.
Oklahoma:
This poll is the only not "horrible" one, though it is not reconferting. One of the 4 strong pick-up oppurtnities for Dems: Coburn leads Carson by 4: 47% to 43%
It is within the MoE, and it's better than the 12% Coburn lead from a week ago in a GOP leaning firm.
We can afford to lose SC if we absolutely win all 4 or at least 3 of the GOP held seats. OK is essential to that.
And of course, the hope of regaigning the senate hings on the California race NOT beign competitive at all.
However, for a little "good news" that Boxer poll is also with a presidential poll that has Kerry only up 3!!!! We all agree that that is an outlier, so I'm sure hoping that the Boxer one is too.